The concept and use of WAR comparison graphs started a few years ago when I was still writing at BeyondtheBoxscore.com. The graphs are ranked according to the player’s best to their worst season according to fWAR. I have decided to graph the players on the Hall of Fame ballot for a couple reasons:
- I like the graphs vice totals because they minimize negative WAR seasons. I can’t fault a player for taking a club’s money and playing baseball even if they are well past their prime.
- I like to add in the HOF Zone. The bottom of the zone is basically the lowest WAR value a player has had in the past and still got into the HOF. The top of the zone is the average WAR values for all Hall of Famers. A different HOF Zone exists for hitters and pitchers.
Graphs with some comments. (The player’s career total fWAR is in the parenthesis next to their name.)
Bonds and Bagwell are the only 2 players who had their career WAR values over the average value. Both may not get into the HOF for years because of steroid accusations.
In the following two curves, the players are separated by 9 WAR. Some of these players should/will get in.
In the following 3 graphs, the players fall further and further below the replacement level. It is unlikely that any of these players make it into the HOF.
Clemens and Shilling look to be the only good bets at making the HOF. It will be interesting to see how Wells does in the voting compared to Morris.
Reason #549,745,045 why relief pitching is overrated.